Course: Forecasting Severe Convection (FSC 2026 spring edition)

Basic concepts of (severe) convection forecasting are introduced  with an emphasis on the ingredients based methodology. For each  ingredient Pucik will present its importance for the convection along its  diagnosis and prognosis. A special emphasis is put on the identification  of “lift” or the process of convective initiation. After the basic  ingredients, Pucik is going to look into vertical wind shear, especially on its influence on the different organisational forms of convection  (single cells, multicells, supercells). For each form, we are going to investigate its basic conceptual model and relate it to the potential  for severe weather. Further, the course will concentrate on the synoptic and mesoscale patterns that are supportive of severe convection and negative  factors that may degrade the severe convection risk. In the end, we are going to look at different types of severe weather, their link to the  large-scale conditions and individual storm types.

The four afternoon…